March 31 domestic plastic market analysis summary
core tip: near the end of the month, businesses are mostly on the sidelines, following the market with caution. Downstream procurement maintains rigid demand, and the spot circulation speed is slow. Short term market negotiations may have shock expectations
[futures market]
US crude oil (7:51): 48.56 down 0.12
● international oil prices closed slightly lower on the 30th
the 31st of this month is the deadline for reaching a framework agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue. Although the outcome of the negotiations is still unpredictable, once the West lifts its sanctions on Iran, the already surplus oil market will be further surplus. In addition, the rise of the US dollar exchange rate also depresses the market atmosphere, However, the optimistic euro zone economic climate index restrained the decline in oil prices. The international oil price closed down slightly on the 30th, and the price of crude oil futures in New York closed down $0.19 to $48.68/barrel. Brent crude oil futures closed down $0.12 to $56.29/barrel
[today's news]
● China's EPS export volume in February increased by 79.98% year-on-year
in February 2015, China's EPS export volume was 18900 tons, a month on month decrease of 35.59% and a year-on-year increase of 79.98%. The average export price in February was about 1201.41 dollars/ton, down 142.84 dollars/ton from the previous month
● the Brazilian Foreign Trade Commission decided to launch an anti-dumping investigation against China's PVC coating.
the Brazilian Foreign Trade Commission issued Order No. 16 of 2015, deciding to launch an anti-dumping investigation against PVC coated cloth (lonadepolycloretodevinila PVC) imported from China. The product involved in the case has a nangongshi tax number of 3921.90.19
[Petrochemical trends]
● PE Petrochemical trends: Yangzi Petrochemical LLDPE unit produces 7042; HDPE device line a produces 5000S, line B produces 5505t, and line C stops for maintenance
● PP Petrochemical trends: qpt93n-gd produced by Qilu Petrochemical PP unit; The manufacturer's inventory is normal, and the sales situation is average
● PVC Petrochemical trends: the quotation of Hebei Shenghua PVC was increased by 150 yuan/ton, the factory acceptance of ordinary type 5 electric stone was reported as 5680 yuan/ton, and the acceptance of type 3 material was reported as 5810 yuan/ton. The inventory was normal, and the sales were OK
● PS Petrochemical News: the ex factory offer of Ningbo Taihua PS is flat, with 9800 yuan/ton for benzene 5250, 10500 yuan/ton for benzene 8250 and 10600 yuan/ton for 825g. The firm offer can be preferential. The recent inventory is OK, and the sales are average
● ABS Petrochemical trends: CNPC northeast ABS pricing stabilized, with 0215a (Jilin Petrochemical) at 11600 yuan/ton, 750A (Daqing Petrochemical) at 11500 yuan/ton, h816 (Jilin Petrochemical) at 11400 yuan/ton, and ge-150 (Jilin Petrochemical) at 11400 yuan/ton
● pet Petrochemical trends: the price of polyester bottle chips of Zhejiang wankai is temporarily stable. The price of water bottle materials, oil bottle materials and hot filling is 7000 yuan/ton for self delivery, and the price of carbonic acid is 100 yuan/ton, of which the production and sales volume of China's automobile in 2016 exceeded 28million, the actual order can be negotiated, and the inventory is not large
[plastic early evaluation and prediction]
● PE early evaluation: yesterday, the market price was high, although crude oil fell sharply, the upstream monomer and linear futures rose. Individual companies of PetroChina and petrochemical transferred out the factory price, which played a strong role in cost support. The carrier mainly shipped goods at a stable price, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm was not high. The tensile strength of the whole test sample was traded smoothly. Reference to local market conditions: some quotations in Tianjin market rose slightly by 50 yuan/ton, Jihua 7042 reported 10150 yuan/ton, Qilu Chemical City market was adjusted in a narrow range, 6098 tax free price was 9670 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton, Shantou market price was adjusted horizontally, Maoming 2426h tax free price was 10400 yuan/ton
forecast today: it is expected that the market price will remain stable today
● PP early review: yesterday's market price fluctuated at a high level. Towards the end of the month, petrochemical enterprises maintained a stable ex factory price. Most businesses have completed the plan of this month, focusing on wait-and-see, with some less goods. Freight merchants focus on shipping, and downstream factories stock goods appropriately. Reference to the market situation of Anqing new chemical materials in various cities: Tianjin market consolidation, Nanjing coal 1102k reported 8600 yuan/ton, Hangzhou market narrow, Shaoxing T30S reported yuan/ton, Shantou market prices fell slightly during the session, and Fulian 1080k was reported at 8200 yuan/ton
today's forecast: on the last day of the end of the month, it is expected that the market price will not fluctuate much. Pay attention to the price policy of petrochemical at the beginning of the month
● PVC morning review: the market was at a high level yesterday, and the transaction was OK. Most merchants hold a steady wait-and-see attitude, and the shipment is average. The demand of downstream factories is weak, the enthusiasm for inquiry is insufficient, and the overall transaction situation is slightly general. Reference of local market conditions: Guangzhou market is stable, and the mainstream price of ethylene is 5950 yuan/ton; Xiamen market is deadlocked, and the calcium carbide method type 5 material is at RMB/ton
today's forecast: it is expected that the market will run steadily today
● PS morning review: yesterday, the market was stable and down, and the overall trading atmosphere was still flat. The business mentality is slightly confused, mainly on the sidelines, and few transactions have been heard. The follow-up of downstream users is poor, the demand is difficult to effectively improve, and the actual transaction volume is not much. Market quotation reference: Dongguan market quotation fell steadily, Guangzhou 525 fell 50 yuan to 8300 yuan/ton; Shantou's market quotation fell comprehensively, 635 fell by 200 yuan to 8300 yuan/ton
today's forecast: it is expected that the market trend will be stable and weak today
● ABS morning review: yesterday, the market was generally stable, and individual quotations rose. The merchants in the venue have insufficient confidence in the future market, and their mentality is deadlocked. They mainly operate according to the market, and the downstream demand is still flat. At present, the market is likely to remain weak without more positive support. Market quotation reference: Shantou market quotation rose steadily, 707k rose 160 yuan to 11380 yuan/ton; Shunde market quotation stabilized and consolidated, and Ning 121h rose 30 yuan to 11030 yuan/ton
today's forecast: it is expected that the market will consolidate today
● PET bottle and chip early evaluation: yesterday, the market price fell steadily. Due to the weakness of PTA futures, the confidence of the industry was insufficient, and the resistance of the downstream to high price goods was strong. There were few solid purchases, and most of them were wait-and-see. The overall trading atmosphere turned weak. Market reference: East China bottle and chip reported yuan/ton for self delivery, and South China bottle and chip reported yuan/ton for short delivery
today's forecast: it is expected that the market will adjust in a narrow range today
● early review of pet waste recycling: yesterday, the market was in a stalemate, the crude oil and new material bottle chip markets fell, the downstream chemical fiber plant procurement was difficult to enlarge, the merchants' shipment situation was poor, the operators were pessimistic about the future market, while the supply of recycled bottle chips was limited, and the market was in a weak situation of supply and demand. Market reference: the machine white chip in the East China market can automatically draw a mark of about 5000 yuan/ton on the table
forecast today: it is expected that the short-term market price will rise or fall in a dilemma
[waste market news]
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● Baoding HDPE particle Market reference, imported black particles 8600, Wahaha high-quality particles, secondary 7300, oil pot black particles 6700
● Jiangsu Taicang high-pressure large parts market has few sources of goods, and the offer reference: 99 membrane mainstream offer yuan/ton, 98a membrane mainstream offer yuan/ton, B membrane mainstream offer yuan/ton; 95 yuan/ton
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